Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.391570 0.463768 0.544288 0.640564 0.752361 0.877897 1.029347
2025-01-19 0.281270 0.373682 0.487802 0.638322 0.830774 1.067654 1.380263
2025-01-26 0.230674 0.333400 0.470011 0.663339 0.927945 1.275182 1.762681
2025-02-02 0.211322 0.326878 0.489937 0.733926 1.086183 1.572003 2.287327
2025-02-09 0.184911 0.304140 0.481594 0.760666 1.183046 1.791537 2.725415
2025-02-16 0.155928 0.271746 0.452953 0.751417 1.223253 1.930681 3.058156
2025-02-23 0.129504 0.238512 0.417351 0.725042 1.231697 2.020052 3.321097
2025-03-02 0.107017 0.207864 0.381003 0.691505 1.222857 2.078952 3.538559
2025-03-09 0.097799 0.198938 0.379528 0.715138 1.308639 2.293556 4.019621
2025-03-16 0.082966 0.177136 0.352315 0.690126 1.308111 2.365244 4.270647
2025-03-23 0.075741 0.168791 0.348248 0.705697 1.379203 2.562006 4.746251
2025-03-30 0.069277 0.160912 0.343886 0.719813 1.448339 2.760064 5.238514
2025-04-06 0.060943 0.148150 0.329030 0.713423 1.481408 2.901873 5.652678
2025-04-13 0.053995 0.137295 0.316650 0.710588 1.521308 3.060347 6.112331
2025-04-20 0.050550 0.133802 0.319111 0.738192 1.623455 3.342789 6.823729
2025-04-27 0.051308 0.140382 0.344137 0.816073 1.834402 3.849131 7.997115
2025-05-04 0.048267 0.137123 0.346757 0.845562 1.947847 4.174319 8.844807
2025-05-11 0.042911 0.127042 0.332345 0.835363 1.976049 4.332149 9.375010
2025-05-18 0.037117 0.114728 0.310883 0.806274 1.959954 4.398131 9.725118
2025-05-25 0.031680 0.102330 0.287379 0.769275 1.922001 4.414807 9.974297
2025-06-01 0.030010 0.100361 0.289868 0.795349 2.029984 4.747964 10.906836
2025-06-08 0.026075 0.090941 0.271662 0.767753 2.009992 4.803305 11.253374
2025-06-15 0.024455 0.088289 0.271124 0.784933 2.097859 5.101304 12.143148